Session Snapshot
- Open: 0.66850
- High: 0.67150
- Low: 0.66820
- Close: 0.67093
- MCM State: Markup (trending bullish)
- Volume Context: High (prime Asian session for AUD pairs)
- News Catalyst: ANZ Job Ads improved (-0.5% vs -1.5% prior); USD weakness and risk-on flows supporting Aussie rally
Fundamental Drivers
AUD/USD rallying on triple tailwinds: USD weakness (DXY -0.35%), improving Australian employment indicators (ANZ Job Ads -0.5% vs -1.5%), and risk-on sentiment. Pair up 9.10% YoY reflecting commodity strength and RBA policy divergence from Fed. High Asian session volume providing reliable price action.
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: Low
- Impact: ANZ Job Ads already priced in; no major Australian events remaining in session
- Action: Clear to trade; monitoring China data releases for commodity-linked AUD impact
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.66700-0.66850 | Fresh | Strong |
| D2 | 0.66370-0.66500 | Tested | Very Strong |
| D3 | 0.66000-0.66150 | Fresh | Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.67500-0.67650 | Fresh | Strong |
| S2 | 0.68000-0.68150 | Fresh | Very Strong |
| S3 | 0.68500-0.68650 | Tested | Moderate |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Supply Zone | 0.68000 | Very Strong | +1.4% |
| R2 | Resistance | 0.67750 | Strong | +1.0% |
| R1 | Supply Zone | 0.67500 | Strong | +0.6% |
| Current | - | 0.67093 | - | - |
| S1 | Session Low | 0.66820 | Moderate | -0.4% |
| S2 | Demand Zone | 0.66700 | Strong | -0.6% |
| S3 | Major Support | 0.66370 | Very Strong | -1.1% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 0.67500 (supply zone), above 0.67750 (resistance)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 0.66700 (demand zone), below 0.66500 (support)
- Recent Sweeps: Session high 0.67150 tested buy-side liquidity
- Next Target: Highly likely hunt to 0.67500-0.67650 supply to capture buy-stops before pullback
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [π΄π΄π π π‘π’π’π’βͺβͺ] GREED
β²
Score: 7/10 β Risk On
Inputs: DXY=98.89 (weak), AUD=+0.42% daily, risk-on flows, commodity strength
Directional Bias
- Bias: Long
- Confidence: High
- Rationale: Markup phase with strong bullish structure. Fresh demand at 0.66700-0.66850 holding firmly. High Asian volume increasing S/D zone reliability. USD weakness and improving Australian data creating favorable fundamental backdrop. Fresh supply at 0.67500-0.67650 represents next upside target.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| π’ Long | 0.66700-0.66800 | Bullish rejection from D1 demand | 0.67100 | 0.67500 | 0.66600 |
| π’ Long | 0.66900-0.67000 | Break above 0.67100 with volume | 0.67400 | 0.67750 | 0.66800 |
| π΄ Short | 0.67500-0.67600 | Bearish engulfing at S1 supply | 0.67150 | 0.66850 | 0.67700 |
Momentum View
"Markup phase with robust bullish structure favors longs from 0.66700-0.66850 demand, highly likely to test 0.67500 supply. IF China data beats β probable extension to 0.68000 psychological level. IF DXY reverses sharply above 99.50 β possible pullback to 0.66700. Risk-reward strongly favors buying dips over chasing current levels."