Session Snapshot
- Open: 0.67120
- High: 0.67210
- Low: 0.67020
- Close: 0.67069
- MCM State: Accumulation (consolidation)
- Volume Context: Moderate (NY session less active for AUD)
- News Catalyst: Risk-on sentiment (VIX -6.34%) supporting commodity currencies; DXY strength (+0.30%) capping gains
Fundamental Drivers
Aussie caught between risk-on flows (VIX down, equities strong) and USD strength (DXY +0.30%). No major AUD data today - price driven by broader risk sentiment and China correlation. US 10-Year Note Auction (1 PM EST, High Impact) key - strong USD response likely pressures AUDUSD to 0.6700 support. Technical shows strong buy signal.
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: Medium (US 10-Year Note Auction at 1 PM EST)
- Impact: USD strength = downside for AUD
- Action: Avoid entries 15 min before/after 1 PM EST
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.67000-0.67100 | Fresh | Strong |
| D2 | 0.66700-0.66800 | Tested | Moderate |
| D3 | 0.66400-0.66500 | Fresh | Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.67400-0.67500 | Fresh | Strong |
| S2 | 0.67700-0.67800 | Tested | Moderate |
| S3 | 0.68000-0.68100 | Fresh | Strong |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Psychological | 0.68000 | Strong | +1.39% |
| R2 | Structural | 0.67700 | Strong | +0.94% |
| R1 | Supply Zone | 0.67400 | Strong | +0.49% |
| Current | - | 0.67069 | - | - |
| S1 | Demand Zone | 0.67000 | Strong | -0.10% |
| S2 | Psychological | 0.66700 | Strong | -0.55% |
| S3 | Structural | 0.66400 | Strong | -1.00% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 0.67400 (supply zone)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 0.67000 (psychological support)
- Recent Sweeps: Minor test of 0.6702 during Asian session
- Next Target: Possible hunt to 0.6695 before reversal if risk appetite holds
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [π΄π΄π π π‘π‘π’π’βͺβͺ] GREED
β²
Score: 7/10 β Risk On
Inputs: VIX=14.48 (-6.34% supporting risk assets), DXY=98.83 (USD strength capping), Technical strong buy
Directional Bias
- Bias: Neutral (slight bullish tilt)
- Confidence: Moderate
- Rationale: Risk-on environment favors commodity currencies, but DXY strength limiting upside. Technical strong buy signal suggests accumulation at 0.6700. Awaiting catalyst for directional move.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| π’ Long | 0.67000-0.67100 | Bullish rejection at D1 | 0.67300 | 0.67500 | 0.66850 |
| π’ Long | 0.67050-0.67150 | Breakout above 0.6715 | 0.67400 | 0.67650 | 0.66950 |
| π΄ Short | 0.67400-0.67500 | Bearish engulfing at S1 | 0.67150 | 0.67000 | 0.67600 |
Momentum View
"Accumulation at 0.6700 demand favors longs targeting 0.6740-0.6750 supply zone. IF risk-on sentiment persists β probable test of 0.6750 resistance. Strong buy technical rating + improving risk appetite suggest upside, yet DXY strength likely caps gains near 0.6750 absent major USD weakness."