Session Snapshot
- Open: 0.9068
- High: 0.9092
- Low: 0.9055
- Current: 0.9078
- SSO State: Markup (trending higher)
- Volume Context: Moderate (steady accumulation)
- News Catalyst: USD strength + SNB neutral stance = CHF weakness
Fundamental Drivers
USDCHF climbing on broad USD strength as Fed maintains hawkish tone vs SNB neutrality. Swiss franc safe-haven appeal diminished in low-VIX environment. US Retail Sales (8:30 AM EST, High Impact) could push pair to 0.9120+ resistance on beat. CHF lacks bullish catalysts.
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: Medium-High (US Retail Sales at 8:30 AM EST)
- Impact: Strong data = breakout above 0.9100 resistance
- Action: Long bias valid; avoid chasing into data release
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.9050-0.9060 | Fresh | Strong |
| D2 | 0.9000-0.9010 | Tested | Moderate |
| D3 | 0.8950-0.8960 | Fresh | Very Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.9120-0.9130 | Fresh | Strong |
| S2 | 0.9180-0.9190 | Tested | Moderate |
| S3 | 0.9250-0.9260 | Fresh | Very Strong |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Psychological | 0.9200 | Strong | +1.3% |
| R2 | Structural | 0.9150 | Moderate | +0.8% |
| R1 | Structural | 0.9100 | Strong | +0.2% |
| Current | - | 0.9078 | - | - |
| S1 | Structural | 0.9050 | Strong | -0.3% |
| S2 | Psychological | 0.9000 | Very Strong | -0.9% |
| S3 | Structural | 0.8950 | Strong | -1.4% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 0.9100 (resistance + round number)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 0.9050 (demand zone + recent support)
- Recent Sweeps: Rally to 0.9092 building momentum for 0.9100 break
- Next Target: Break 0.9100 on retail sales → target 0.9150 supply zone
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [🔴🟠🟡🟡🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪⚪] GREED
▲
Score: 6/10 — Moderately Bullish
Inputs: USD strength, CHF defensive weakness, uptrend structure forming
Directional Bias
- Bias: Long
- Confidence: Medium-High
- Rationale: Markup phase developing, USD fundamental strength persists. 0.9050 demand holding, breakout above 0.9100 likely on strong US data. Buy dips strategy favored.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| 🟢 Long | 0.9050-0.9060 | Bullish rejection at D1 | 0.9100 | 0.9140 | 0.9035 |
| 🟢 Breakout | 0.9100-0.9110 | Break above with volume | 0.9150 | 0.9185 | 0.9075 |
| 🔴 Short (Counter) | 0.9145-0.9155 | Bearish engulfing at S2 | 0.9100 | 0.9060 | 0.9175 |
Momentum View
"Markup phase gaining traction - USD strength vs CHF neutrality creating structural bid. IF retail sales beats, expect breakout above 0.9100 targeting 0.9150 supply. Buy pullbacks to 0.9050 demand zone. Trend favors bulls."