Session Snapshot
- Current Price: 157.918
- 24h Change: +0.68%
- 1-Week Performance: +0.68%
- 1-Month Performance: +1.23%
- SSO State: Markup (trending up with strong buy signals)
- Volume Context: Moderate (London Session)
- News Catalyst: Interest rate differential (Fed-BOJ) widening; technical "strong buy" across timeframes
Fundamental Drivers
USDJPY driven by interest rate differential between Fed and BOJ. Fed holding rates elevated (US10Y 4.17%) while BOJ maintains ultra-loose policy. JPY weakness structural—BOJ reluctant to hike despite inflation. One of most traded pairs globally; highly sensitive to risk sentiment (VIX 14.48 = risk-on favoring USD). DXY at 99.13 but USDJPY rallying = JPY weakness dominant theme.
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: Low (no Fed or BOJ events today)
- Impact: Trend continuation favored; watch for surprise BOJ intervention chatter
- Action: Normal trading; avoid overleveraging at extension highs
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 156.50-157.00 | Fresh | Strong |
| D2 | 155.00-155.50 | Tested | Moderate |
| D3 | 153.50-154.00 | Fresh | Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 159.00-159.50 | Fresh | Moderate |
| S2 | 160.50-161.00 | Fresh | Strong |
| S3 | 162.00-162.50 | Fresh | Moderate |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Psychological | 160.00 | Strong | +1.3% |
| R2 | Extension | 159.00 | Moderate | +0.7% |
| R1 | Structural | 158.50 | Moderate | +0.4% |
| Current | - | 157.92 | - | - |
| S1 | Structural | 157.00 | Strong | -0.6% |
| S2 | Psychological | 156.00 | Strong | -1.2% |
| S3 | Swing Low | 155.00 | Strong | -1.8% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 159.00 and 160.00 (round number magnets)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 156.00 (psychological support)
- Recent Sweeps: None visible; clean uptrend
- Next Target: Hunt to 159.00-159.50 supply, potential liquidity grab to 160.00+
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪⚪] GREED
▲
Score: 7/10 — Risk On
Inputs: Technical=Strong Buy all timeframes, Rate differential=Bullish, VIX=14.48 (risk-on)
Directional Bias
- Bias: Long
- Confidence: High
- Rationale: Strong buy signals daily/weekly/monthly. Interest rate differential structural tailwind. JPY weakness accelerating. Momentum favors continuation to 159.00+ supply zones.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| 🟢 Long | 156.50-157.00 | Bullish rejection at D1 | 158.50 | 159.50 | 156.00 |
| 🟢 Long | 157.50-158.00 | Breakout continuation | 159.00 | 160.00 | 157.00 |
| 🔴 Short | 159.00-159.50 | Bearish engulfing at S1 | 158.00 | 157.00 | 159.75 |
Momentum View
"Markup phase with structural tailwind (Fed-BOJ rate differential). IF holds 157.00, expect push to 159.00-160.00. ONLY risk: surprise BOJ intervention (low probability given policy stance). London Session: BUY DIPS to 156.50-157.00 demand zone."
When momentum aligns, we move.