Session Snapshot
- Open: 0.66850
- High: 0.66920
- Low: 0.66780
- Close: 0.66836
- Change: -0.02%
- MCM State: Distribution (ranging with downside bias)
- Volume Context: High (prime Asian session pair)
- News Catalyst: USD strength (DXY +0.30%) pressuring AUD; ANZ Job Ads (2:30 PM EST) low-impact event ahead
Fundamental Drivers
AUD under pressure from USD strength (DXY 99.14) and China growth concerns. ANZ Job Advertisements at 2:30 PM EST (low impact). High Asian session volume makes technical levels reliable. Watch for RBA commentary and China data releases—commodity currency sensitive to risk sentiment and China demand.
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: Low (ANZ Job Ads at 2:30 PM EST)
- Impact: Minor—job ads are secondary labor indicator; unlikely to move pair significantly
- Action: Safe to trade S/D zones; high volume validates technical setups
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.66750-0.66850 | Fresh | Strong |
| D2 | 0.66500-0.66600 | Tested Once | Moderate |
| D3 | 0.66200-0.66300 | Fresh | Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.67100-0.67200 | Fresh | Strong |
| S2 | 0.67400-0.67500 | Fresh | Moderate |
| S3 | 0.67800-0.67900 | Untested | Strong |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Psychological | 0.67500 | Strong | +0.99% |
| R2 | Structural | 0.67200 | Moderate | +0.54% |
| R1 | Session High | 0.66920 | Weak | +0.13% |
| Current | - | 0.66836 | - | - |
| S1 | Session Low | 0.66780 | Weak | -0.08% |
| S2 | Structural | 0.66750 | Strong | -0.13% |
| S3 | Psychological | 0.66500 | Strong | -0.50% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 0.67100 (supply zone + breakout level)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 0.66750 (demand zone + structural support)
- Recent Sweeps: Session low 0.66780 tested but no cascade
- Next Target: Likely liquidity sweep to 0.66750 demand to hunt sell-stops, then possible reversal if demand holds
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [🟠🟠🟡🟡🟡🟢⚪⚪⚪⚪] GREED
▲
Score: 4/10 — Slightly Cautious
Inputs: DXY=99.14 (+0.30%), AUD -0.19% daily, high Asian volume but USD pressure = cautious bias
Directional Bias
- Bias: Neutral to Slight Short
- Confidence: Moderate
- Rationale: Distribution phase with USD strength pressuring AUD. High Asian volume validates zones. Fresh demand at 0.66750-0.66850 likely to provide support, but USD strength suggests downside bias. Favor selling rallies to supply over buying dips until USD weakness emerges.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| 🟢 Long | 0.66750-0.66850 | Bullish engulfing at D1 | 0.66920 | 0.67100 | 0.66700 |
| 🔴 Short | 0.67100-0.67200 | Bearish rejection at S1 | 0.66900 | 0.66750 | 0.67250 |
| 🔴 Short | 0.66920-0.67000 | Failed rally rejection | 0.66800 | 0.66750 | 0.67050 |
Momentum View
"Distribution phase with USD strength suggests ranging likely between 0.66750-0.67100. IF demand at 0.66750 holds → probable bounce to 0.66920-0.67100 supply. Fresh supply at 0.67100-0.67200 highly likely to cap upside unless DXY reverses below 99.00. Risk-reward favors selling rallies to supply over buying dips—patience for supply zone rejection offers favorable short entries with tight risk."