Session Snapshot
- Open: 0.80050
- High: 0.80150
- Low: 0.80020
- Close: 0.80092
- Change: +0.05%
- MCM State: Accumulation (tight range)
- Volume Context: Low (Asian session unfavorable for CHF)
- News Catalyst: USD mild strength (DXY +0.30%) supporting pair; CHF safe-haven demand muted in risk-neutral environment
Fundamental Drivers
USD/CHF in tight accumulation range as USD shows modest strength (DXY 99.14). CHF safe-haven demand subdued with VIX ~14.5 (low fear). No SNB events today. Light calendar favoring technical trading. Watch for risk-off flows that could strengthen CHF (invert correlation).
News Risk Assessment
- Event Risk: None (no SNB or major CHF events)
- Impact: Low volatility; technical levels dominating
- Action: Safe to trade S/D zones; note low Asian volume reduces reliability of zones
Supply/Demand Zones
Demand Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.79950-0.80050 | Fresh | Moderate |
| D2 | 0.79700-0.79800 | Tested Once | Moderate |
| D3 | 0.79400-0.79500 | Fresh | Strong |
Supply Zones
| Zone | Range | Status | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.80300-0.80400 | Fresh | Moderate |
| S2 | 0.80600-0.80700 | Fresh | Strong |
| S3 | 0.81000-0.81100 | Untested | Strong |
Support/Resistance Matrix
| Level | Type | Price | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | Psychological | 0.81000 | Strong | +1.13% |
| R2 | Structural | 0.80600 | Moderate | +0.63% |
| R1 | Session High | 0.80150 | Weak | +0.07% |
| Current | - | 0.80092 | - | - |
| S1 | Psychological | 0.80000 | Moderate | -0.11% |
| S2 | Session Low | 0.79950 | Weak | -0.18% |
| S3 | Structural | 0.79700 | Strong | -0.49% |
Liquidity Hunt Map
- Buy-Stop Clusters: Above 0.80300 (supply zone + breakout level)
- Sell-Stop Clusters: Below 0.80000 (psychological round number)
- Recent Sweeps: None; tight accumulation range
- Next Target: Possible liquidity hunt to 0.80300 if USD strength continues, or drop to 0.80000 if risk-off sentiment emerges
Fear Factor Meter
FEAR [🟡🟡🟡🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪⚪⚪] GREED
▲
Score: 5/10 — Neutral
Inputs: DXY=99.14 (+0.30%), VIX≈14.5 (low fear), CHF safe-haven muted, low Asian volume
Directional Bias
- Bias: Neutral to Slight Long
- Confidence: Low
- Rationale: Accumulation phase with tight 0.80000-0.80150 range. USD strength mild. Low Asian volume reduces zone reliability. Favor range-bound approach or wait for London session volatility. IF risk-off emerges → CHF strength could reverse pair.
Action Zones
| Setup | Entry | Trigger | TP1 | TP2 | SL |
|-------|-------|---------|-----|-----|----||
| 🟢 Long | 0.79950-0.80050 | Bullish rejection at D1 | 0.80150 | 0.80300 | 0.79900 |
| 🔴 Short | 0.80300-0.80400 | Bearish engulfing at S1 | 0.80100 | 0.79950 | 0.80450 |
| ⚪ Range | 0.80000-0.80150 | Scalp boundaries | ±8-12 pips | N/A | Tight |
Momentum View
"Accumulation phase with low Asian volume suggests tight ranging likely between 0.80000-0.80300. IF demand at 0.80000 holds → possible bounce to 0.80300 supply. Fresh supply at 0.80300-0.80400 likely to cap upside unless DXY strengthens significantly. Risk-reward favors range trading over directional bets—patience for clear boundary touches offers favorable scalping setups, though low volume warrants caution."